Midterm US elections 2026: what the press writes and what people post, bloc by bloc

Media and social coverage of the 2 parties below, 6 Aug 2026 to 3 Nov 2026. Measured sentiment, not a poll and not a forecast.

2blocs · 2 parties
3 Nov 2026last refreshed

Who holds the conversation

Each bar splits all mentions between the two blocs, like a chamber. The number inside is share of voice; the shade shows net sentiment (positive minus negative). Media and social are measured separately because they rarely agree.

Democrats: DemocratsRepublicans: Republicans
MediaDemocrats: 51%51%Republicans: 49%49%Democrats · net sentiment +11Republicans · net sentiment −47
SocialDemocrats: 51%51%Republicans: 49%49%Democrats · net sentiment −64Republicans · net sentiment −38
Show data
BlocSourceShare of voicePositiveNeutralNegativeNet
DemocratsMedia51%43%25%32%+11
RepublicansMedia49%14%26%60%−47
DemocratsSocial51%9%18%73%−64
RepublicansSocial49%19%24%57%−38

Democrats vs Republicans

The measures of each bloc, from all the mentions of its parties: share of voice, net sentiment and, for media, the editorial share (mentions that are not press releases). Each axis is scaled to the bloc with the highest value (net sentiment from −100 to +100); the number next to each point is the measured value.

Media share ofvoiceSocial share ofvoiceMedia netSocial netEditorial shareDemocratsRepublicans51%51%+11−6499%49%49%−47−3899%
Show data
MeasureDemocratsRepublicans
Media share of voice51%49%
Social share of voice51%49%
Media net+11−47
Social net−64−38
Editorial share99%99%

Where journalists and the public disagree

Each party is a dot: how media rate it (left to right) against how social posts rate it (bottom to top). Inside the shaded band, both agree. Above it, the public is kinder than the press; below it, the press is kinder than the public. Dot size is total mentions.

−0.6−0.60.00.0+0.6+0.6Media sentimentSocial sentimentPublic kinder than the pressPress kinder than the publicDemocrats: media +0.08, social −0.45Republicans: media −0.31, social −0.27DemocratsRepublicans

Largest gap between social and media sentiment: Democrats (−0.53).

Show data
PartyBlocMedia sentimentSocial sentimentGap (social − media)
DemocratsDemocrats+0.08−0.45−0.53
RepublicansRepublicans−0.31−0.27+0.04

Per bloc: each bloc is one dot, from all the mentions of its parties.

−0.6−0.60.00.0+0.6+0.6Media sentimentSocial sentimentPublic kinder than the pressPress kinder than the publicDemocrats: media +0.08, social −0.45Republicans: media −0.31, social −0.27DemocratsRepublicans

Largest gap between social and media sentiment: Democrats (−0.53).

Show data
BlocMedia sentimentSocial sentimentGap (social − media)
Democrats+0.08−0.45−0.53
Republicans−0.31−0.27+0.04

Favorable, neutral, unfavorable, per party

Two rows per party and per bloc: the top row is media, the bottom row is social. The number on the right is net (favorable minus unfavorable).

favorableneutralunfavorablenetDemocratsmedia / socialDemocrats · Media · favorable: 43%43%Democrats · Media · neutral: 25%25%Democrats · Media · unfavorable: 32%32%+11Democrats · Social · favorable: 9%9%Democrats · Social · neutral: 18%18%Democrats · Social · unfavorable: 73%73%−64Republicansmedia / socialRepublicans · Media · favorable: 14%14%Republicans · Media · neutral: 26%26%Republicans · Media · unfavorable: 60%60%−47Republicans · Social · favorable: 19%19%Republicans · Social · neutral: 24%24%Republicans · Social · unfavorable: 57%57%−38DemocratsDemocrats · media / socialDemocrats · Media · favorable: 43%43%Democrats · Media · neutral: 25%25%Democrats · Media · unfavorable: 32%32%+11Democrats · Social · favorable: 9%9%Democrats · Social · neutral: 18%18%Democrats · Social · unfavorable: 73%73%−64RepublicansRepublicans · media / socialRepublicans · Media · favorable: 14%14%Republicans · Media · neutral: 26%26%Republicans · Media · unfavorable: 60%60%−47Republicans · Social · favorable: 19%19%Republicans · Social · neutral: 24%24%Republicans · Social · unfavorable: 57%57%−38
Show data
PartyBlocSourcePositiveNeutralNegativeNet
DemocratsMedia43%25%32%+11
DemocratsSocial9%18%73%−64
RepublicansMedia14%26%60%−47
RepublicansSocial19%24%57%−38
DemocratsDemocratsMedia43%25%32%+11
DemocratsDemocratsSocial9%18%73%−64
RepublicansRepublicansMedia14%26%60%−47
RepublicansRepublicansSocial19%24%57%−38

The last 90 days, day by day

Share of voice and net sentiment of each bloc as a 7-day moving average (each value covers the 7 days ending that day). Solid lines are media, dashed lines are social. A thin dotted line without a dot bridges days with no mentions collected; the table shows “–” for them. Marked days are where media and social sentiment of that bloc differ by more than 0.30 on the -1 to +1 scale; only days with enough mentions in both sources are marked.

DemocratsShare of voice100%0%Net sentiment+100−1006 Aug 20263 Nov 2026
RepublicansShare of voice100%0%Net sentiment+100−1006 Aug 20263 Nov 2026

3 marked day(s) (bloc, social minus media); the latest: 1 Nov 2026 (Democrats, −0.51), 27 Oct 2026 (Democrats, −0.42), 20 Oct 2026 (Democrats, −0.59).

Show data
DayDemocrats · Media · Share of voiceDemocrats · Media · NetDemocrats · Social · Share of voiceDemocrats · Social · NetRepublicans · Media · Share of voiceRepublicans · Media · NetRepublicans · Social · Share of voiceRepublicans · Social · Net
2026-08-06––––––––
2026-08-07––––––––
2026-08-08––––––––
2026-08-09––––––––
2026-08-10––––––––
2026-08-11––––––––
2026-08-12––––––––
2026-08-13––––––––
2026-08-14––––––––
2026-08-15––––––––
2026-08-16––––––––
2026-08-170%no score––100%−100––
2026-08-18––––––––
2026-08-19––––––––
2026-08-20––––––––
2026-08-21––––––––
2026-08-22––––––––
2026-08-23––––––––
2026-08-24––––––––
2026-08-25––––––––
2026-08-26––––––––
2026-08-27––––––––
2026-08-28––––––––
2026-08-29––––––––
2026-08-30––––––––
2026-08-31––––––––
2026-09-01––––––––
2026-09-02––––––––
2026-09-03––––––––
2026-09-04––––––––
2026-09-05––––––––
2026-09-06––––––––
2026-09-07––––––––
2026-09-08––––––––
2026-09-09––––––––
2026-09-10––––––––
2026-09-11––––––––
2026-09-12––––––––
2026-09-13––––––––
2026-09-14––––––––
2026-09-15––––––––
2026-09-16––––––––
2026-09-17––––––––
2026-09-18––––––––
2026-09-19––––––––
2026-09-20––––––––
2026-09-21––––––––
2026-09-22––––––––
2026-09-23––––––––
2026-09-24––––––––
2026-09-25––––––––
2026-09-26––––––––
2026-09-2750%0––50%−100––
2026-09-28––––––––
2026-09-29––––––––
2026-09-3050%0––50%−50––
2026-10-0150%+33––50%−33––
2026-10-02––––––––
2026-10-03––––––––
2026-10-04––––––––
2026-10-05––––––––
2026-10-0656%+80––44%−50––
2026-10-0762%+80––38%−67––
2026-10-08––––––––
2026-10-09––––––––
2026-10-1071%+40––29%−100––
2026-10-11––––––––
2026-10-12––––––––
2026-10-1362%−60––38%0––
2026-10-1450%−43––50%−14––
2026-10-1541%−43––59%−30––
2026-10-1650%−254%−5450%−4146%−64
2026-10-1752%+6––48%−40––
2026-10-1854%+953%−4846%−4347%−18
2026-10-1953%+14––47%−47––
2026-10-2052%+1654%−5848%−4546%−32
2026-10-2152%+14––48%−49––
2026-10-2252%+14––48%−48––
2026-10-2352%+16––48%−49––
2026-10-24––––––––
2026-10-2550%+15––50%−51––
2026-10-2650%+8––50%−49––
2026-10-2750%−651%−6650%−5849%−35
2026-10-2850%−12––50%−47––
2026-10-2946%0––54%−64––
2026-10-3048%+16––52%−62––
2026-10-3148%+19––52%−58––
2026-11-0149%+851%−6451%−4849%−39
2026-11-0250%+10––50%−47––
2026-11-0350%+10––50%−46––

How this is measured

  • Media: mentions in news outlets that name at least one of the 2 parties, 6 Aug 2026 to 3 Nov 2026. Only mentions that passed VoilàIQ's brand verification are counted.
  • Social: public posts about the parties from tracked accounts and channels in the same period. Private accounts and comments are not collected.
  • Sentiment is scored per mention by VoilàIQ's analysis pipeline and averaged with mention counts as weights. Net sentiment is the share of positive minus the share of negative mentions.
  • Not included: opinion polls, private messages, and parties not listed on this page. Mentions with no sentiment score count in share of voice but not in sentiment.
  • Blocs are editorial groupings set when this page was created. Parties are not consulted and cannot change them.
  • This page measures coverage. It is not an opinion poll, not a forecast, and VoilàIQ does not endorse any party, bloc or option.

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Data as of 3 Nov 2026 · Markdown version

VoilàIQ uses AI. Always verify what matters. VoilàIQ is not affiliated with the parties listed and endorses none of them. Figures cover the tracked source set only. Data refreshed daily.